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The Russian media said that China in the future possibly and Russia has the ground to conflict
http://www.sina.com.cn on October 10, 2009 14:57 round the world Times
On October 1, China held the grand National Day formation for review and inspection in Beijing. Picture shows 99 types main battle tank regiment
Russian Independent on October 9 article, original topic: Several million soldiers add on the modern weapons to be possible to see from the recent China military reconstruction characteristic clearly, China will expand in the future by no means by peace (economy and population) the way, does not remove its use military force the possibility.
Recently a series of the event to let us ascend this topic again. What is most remarkable is China celebrates the 60th anniversary to hold large-scale reviews troops. According to the official figure, on the formation for review and inspection China has displayed 50 kinds of new technical equips, People\’s Liberation Army various branch of the services also participated in the inspection. It can be said that Beijing demonstrated own strength is successful, this formation for review and inspection is impeccable. However, (just like) Russia on the formation for review and inspection which May holds not the full demonstration Russian force team\’s real present situation, therefore, the people have not participated to review troops to the Chinese Army in that part of strength to be interested.
Some time ago China just finished “surmounts – 2009” large-scale military maneuver. Those who made one pay attention, this exercise aimed at landing operations of Taiwan by no means obviously and repels the invasion of US. Because the Taiwan area is not big, does not need several thousand kilometers marching. But US, if invades China, will use the marine and air effort attack, will not take the action in the land, and Pama government expressed that avoids in the overseas using the US military as far as possible. China will not encounter from some aggression of country, because its surrounding countries\’ military potential falls behind it.
Did this have this kind of problem, which Country Army combat China has prepared to use the modernized the military technology equipment with? China did not plan that expands to Southeast Asia and Korean Peninsula, but is the preparation expands to Russia and Kazakhstan. Only then can start vertical to a depth of 2000 kilometers attacks in these war zones, in Southeast Asia war zone depth not over 1500 kilometers, Korean Peninsula not over 750 kilometers. Moreover (China holds) maneuver area\’s terrain and Central Asia, Far East and Waibeijiaer area is very similar. Moreover, including the Beijing Military Region and Shenyang Military Area Command and Lanzhou Military Command\’s army participated in the exercise, these armies aim at Russia, Mongolia and Central Asia.
The outside believes that China purchases the sea and air weapon mainly to be used to Russia to resist the Taiwan area and US, therefore, the Russian force team has war\’s possibility to be very small. But, both countries have the possibility to have conflict in land – - – China has not purchased any army material to Russia. In the near future, the Sino-Russian military technological cooperation is interrupting, has a view is because the Russia military enterprise is unable to provide to need the weapon and technology to China, another view is China was considering that in the foreseeable future probably takes the military action to the Russian force team.
Finally must stress once more that may extrapolate, the Chinese military administration leader seriously considered in the foreseeable future implements the offensive operations motion to Russian and central Asian nation the possibility, this war is considered that most has the possibility to occur. (Author is the Russian politics and military analysis deputy director of institute AlexanderHelamuqixin, jade huge mythical bird translates)
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