The 21st century economic coverage on September 16 news “this crisis was not they (developing country) creates, they also most lacked the preparation. Therefore, reaches a fair agreement to be important at the Copenhagen congress.”World Bank President Zoellick on September 15 said.
The Beijing standard time on September 15 evening, the World Bank issued “in 2010 the world development report: Development and climatic change”. This report which issued when December United Nations Copenhagen climate conference pointed out especially, the developing country in facing the climatic change brings the threat is frailer, must therefore while developing and poverty-reduction changes the low-carbon economic type, but the premise is the high income country provides the fund and technical assistance.
“Developing country will bear the climatic change potential impact 75%~80%.”The World Bank chief economists and senior vice president Lin Yifu September 15 internal conference call expressed in. World Bank this report pointed out that East Asian and Pacific section’s developing country, because three big factors, appear especially frail in the climate disaster.
First, this region’s massive population lives on the seashore and topography low islands. “For example China has more than 130 million people, Vietnam approximately 40 million people, the Pacific Ocean island country approximately 2 million people.”
Next, these areas to agricultural dependant. But the environmental deterioration causes the natural resource the pressure to increase unceasingly, has increased the agricultural management complexity.
Third, this regional economies also highly rely on the marine resource, the marine pollution which the climatic change brings will affect directly the marine economy development of region.
Not is only “congenitally deficient”, because the developing country has not completed the industrialization development, the climatic issue will be bigger than the developed country to effect of its following economic development.
When accepting the newspaper interview, the Sweden economists and climatic issue expert Eck Lund (Klas Eklund) said that the developed country should not request China and other developing countries to shoulder excessively many reducing emission responsibilities, “China, India these the country was still developing, they require the time.”
At the same time, shoulders “historical responsibility” is also the developing country regarding the request of developed country. But takes the US to believe as representative’s developed country that the question key is not haggled over, but will be shoulders in the future the responsibility “together”.
Eck Lund this time and “climate economic” founder NicolasStern (Nicolas Stern) comes to Beijing to participate together by Chinese Development and Planning Commission Organization’s climate seminar, he told the reporter, the greenhouse gas emission’s computing mode, was at this seminar key point. “If according to the population ratio, the average per person withdrawal in China is not huge. But if according to industrial production total quantity computation, as ` industrial workshop of the world’ China, will be requested to shoulder the huge reducing emission responsibility without doubt.”
At present, will realize the developing country request developed country to 2020 in 1990 in the foundation 40% reducing emission. But American Pama government newest climate report indicated that the US is only willing to realize to maintain at 2020 1990 the emission level; Europe indicated that is willing to compare in 1990 to reduce emission 20%-30%.
“The Copenhagen conference is hard to obtain the success, because reduces emission behind the question the core is the ` money’.” Eck Lund said that “decisive content is hard to achieve, but may obtain some current framework agreements.”Much less, climatic issue’s lead US changes the question to be badly battered for the domestic economy recovery as well as the medicine, “(these questions) have consumed Pama government too many energy”.
But World Bank reported warned that the financial crisis cannot become the climatic issue places the secondary position the excuse. “Crisis will possibly cause the serious difficulty in the short-term to the intermediate stage and slows down the economic growth, but its duration little over 2-3 years. But threat of the climate warming is much more serious than the financial crisis, the duration is also much longer.”
Reported according to World Bank that must solve the climatic issue, needs to realize reforming of world energy system in the next dozens years. The research and development investment will need every year 100 billion to 700 billion US dollars, but the present investment every year only then 13 billion US dollars public purses, as well as 40 billion to 60 billion US dollars private capitals, two are very different. But the developing country must advance to the low-carbon society, depends on the developed country provides the fund and technical assistance.
“Climate financing must dramatically increase, the present financing level is lower than the demand which may foresee by far.”Lin Yifu said. At present, the World Bank initiates the climate investment fund (CIF), is using the low-carbon technology to reduce the cost for the developing country.
Eck Lund told the reporter, Sweden SEB Bank was carrying on “green bond” with World Bank the project cooperation, collects fund investment in the China, India and other developing country’s green projects. “At present only then 2 billion US dollars scales, are not big,” Eck Lund spoke frankly, “, but the following two years, anticipated will achieve 10 billion US dollars scales.” (This article originates: The 21st century economic coverage author: Spends Xin) 
